The Future of Online Retailing

Richard Croome, Meredith Lawley and Bishnu Sharma, University of the Sunshine Coast

Abstract

How and why consumers use the Internet is important to understanding retail change in the online context. A mail survey approach was used in completing this study. One hundred and forty six Australian consumers participated in the survey. The results suggest that consumers have a preference for purchasing digital and non-bulky analogue products online, specifically tickets, books, travel & hotels, music and cameras. Product attributes play an important role in choosing the initial retail channel. Pricing and product information are potential switching drivers and trust is associated with online purchasing. The implications for pure-play and multi-channel retailers are discussed.

Introduction

Online retail sales as a percentage of total retail sales are increasing (Kau et al. 2003), albeit coming off a small base and in relative and absolute terms are still small considering the Internet was touted as the “new economy” during the 1990’s (Shabazz 2004; Finkelstein 2001). This lack of online purchasing activity presents an interesting research problem for academics, technologists and retailers alike, since consumers now have the opportunity to shop from the comfort of their own home in their own time from a far greater number of retailers located around the globe instead of only just locally, as before (Hamel 2001; Merrilees 2001).

From a theoretical perspective, neither the theories of retail change or the online consumer behaviour literature adequately explain the low conversion rate from search and evaluation to outright purchase on the Internet. Recently, several academics (Balabanis & Diamantopoulos 2004; Gehrt & Yan 2004; Koyuncu & Lien 2003) have explored the potential of integrating the consumer behaviour literature with what is known about retail change to progress the understanding of why and how consumers use the Internet to purchase goods and services. Their results, and the results of Keen et al. (2004), suggest that much can be learned about the factors influencing retail change through a better understanding of consumer behaviour during the buying decision process. In particular improving the understanding of the underlying motivations that influence consumer purchase behaviours. This paper builds upon this research by examining how and why value is created for the consumer in the context of the online buying decision process.

Literature Review

Two major research streams and three distinct research phases are identifiable in the online consumer behaviour literature. One research stream explores the possibility that product attributes, such as the product’s ability to be evaluated and delivered via the Internet, and the level of purchase involvement are important drivers of online purchases (Thornton & Marche 2003; Zeng & Reinartz 2003; Deveraj et al. 2002). The other major research stream explores the importance of the consumer’s situation as an important driver of online retail sales. Within this stream the consumer’s situation is taken to include access issues, product availability, technological familiarity, experience, trust, brand and customer service concerns (Tan & Sutherland 2004; Gefen et al. 2003; Argawal & Venkatesh 2002).

Within these two research streams, there are, broadly speaking, three identifiable phases of research. Whilst they overlap chronologically, and there is no distinct cutoff for each, the three phases appear to be broadly grouped into the useability phase from 1995 to 1997 (Alba et al. 1997; Jarvenpaa & Todd 1997; Boling 1995). The e-service quality phase from 1998 to the present (Argawal & Venkatesh 2002; Feinberg & Kadam 2002; Zeithaml et al. 2002; Hamel 2001), and the product attribute phase, which enjoyed some popularity from 1995 to 1997 (Peterson et al. 1997; Stern 1995) and has been pursued by a limited number of authors since including Zeng and Reinartz (2003), Vijayasarathy (2002), Phau and Poon (2000).

Within the two streams, six key dimensions are identifiable as potential online buying decision drivers. They are tangibles, trust, enjoyment, differentiation, price and content.

Content is a multifaceted dimension that refers to the information within the web site being relevant, current and timely, with the appropriate depth and breadth of information that allows the consumer to readily comparison shop and to customise and personalise their online retail experience (Zeng & Reinartz 2003; Janda et al. 2002; Vijayasarathy 2002).

The term tangibles, has two different meanings depending on whether it is approached from the product attributes or e-service quality perspective. In the former, tangibles refers to the information richness of the product (Zeng & Reinartz 200; Kolesar & Galbraith 2000). In the latter case it refers to website design and useability (Song & Zhang 2004; Tan et al. 2003).

Research to date indicates that trust on the Internet is multifaceted (Grabner-Kraeuter 2002). Trust in relation to online retailing primarily relates to the consumer’s confidence in the medium and the online vendor (Chen & Dhillon 2003). Trust of the medium, in relation to online shopping is primarily related to a belief that the Internet is trustworthy in terms of the information and the transaction (George 2004). Security in relation to the medium and the vendor is often cited as being one of the reasons why consumers will not use the Internet to make retail purchases (Doolin et al. 2005; Ziethaml et al. 2002; Lee & Turban 2001). Thus, from the literature, trust in its aggregate form includes aspects of ease-of-use, perceived usefulness, site aesthetics, assurance, brand, service recovery / returns, safety and security.

The cost of goods is also considered to be a key determinant of why and how consumers use the Internet to make buying decisions (Zeng and Reinartz 2003; Torkzahdeh and Dhillon 2002; Peterson et al. 1997). These authors focus on the absolute cost of the product and refer to whether the cost of the good is low, moderate or high, suggesting that goods high in dollar value terms that are infrequently purchased will sell well on the Internet. Other authors contend that as price increases so does financial uncertainty (Chen & Dubinski 2003) and the findings of Phau and Poon (2000) do not support the notion that only high priced goods will sell well on the Internet. They found that low cost goods that are competitively priced have a high purchase intention among Internet consumers. Thus from the literature, it is uncertain whether absolute cost is an important online shopping driver.

In terms of relative or competitive pricing, Figueiredo (2000) notes that all retail goods on the Internet, except for unique and unusual goods, suffer from commoditisation and therefore suffer pricing pressure. The severe discounting during the latter part of the 1990's (Porter 2001) supports this. Additionally, Zeithaml et al. (2000) measured “price knowledge” which refers to the consumer knowing the range of prices offered by online vendors for a particular product such as a specific model of camera, and both Burton (2001) and Kalakota and Robinson (1999) have argued that a competitive price is essential to online retailing. Absolute, competitive and transparent, pricing are thus the three major components of pricing that may influence the online buying decision.

The fifth key factor in the literature is the notion that product differentiation is an online shopping driver. Peterson et al. (1997) suggest that highly differentiated products will sell well on the Internet. Eastlick and Lotz (1999) refer to specialty products whilst Figueiredo (2000) hypothesises that unique and unusual products will sell well. In all three cases the authors suggest that products that have a limited number of substitutes or competitors and/or are hand made and/or are one-offs and/or can only be purchased from a particular web site are products that will succeed. This has yet to be established quantitatively and it may be that the opposite is true.

The sixth and final key factor relates to the concept of shopping enjoyment. Enjoyment has been identified as an important determinant of why consumers shop (Doolin et al. 2005; Mathwick & Rigdon 2004; Monsuwe et al. 2004; Mathwick et al. 2002; Jarvenpaa & Todd 1997; Hoffman & Novak 1996). Holbrook and Hirschman (1982) identify fantasy, feelings and fun as motivators for shopping. Later articles by Holbrook (2000) extend the shopping enjoyment concept to entertainment, and still later to evangelizing and exhibitionism (Holbrook 2001a; 2001b). Koufaris (2002) found shopping enjoyment to strongly predict intention to return to a website and measured the dimension in terms of the experience being fun, exciting, enjoyable and interesting.

Model Development

Underlying the product attributes research stream is the notion that only products that leverage the basic condition of the shopping channel will succeed. In this scenario the consumer chooses a retail channel to obtain content and price information. The type of content and price information the consumer desires is a function of the product under consideration, which can be classified in terms of the product’s tangibles and differentiation attributes. If the consumer is satisfied with the content and price information they receive, trust and enjoyment develop and the consumer concludes the purchase. Thus, the model in Figure 1 asserts that, product attributes determine initial retail channel selection, and that content and price are the main retail channel-switching drivers and trust and enjoyment are the purchase drivers.

Figure 1: Product attributes model of consumer value

Underlying the situationalists’ literature is the notion that once the consumer trusts a retail channel, they will enjoy shopping within it, and thus the development of trust and enjoyment are necessary before the consumer begins looking for price and product information. The situationalists’ thus contend that there is potential for any product to be successfully sold online.

Figure 2: Situationalists’ model of consumer value

Research Method

To examine the online buying decision process, depth interviews, focus groups and a field survey technique was employed. Depth interviews with four experienced and knowledgeable people were conducted. This provided a variety of informed responses. The four people selected included an owner of an online retail business, a specialist academic in the field of e-commerce, a senior government official responsible for public online information dissemination and payment facilities and an experienced online consumer. These individuals represented the spectrum of knowledge and experience relevant to the research and were considered adequate for this stage of the research, since no new information was gathered after the first three interviews.

Three focus groups, consisting of between five and seven people were convened drawing from a pool of university staff members invited to participate via the all-staff email list. In all three sessions there were at least two males and two females, and overall there were nine females and eight males giving a percentage split of 53 / 47 thereby minimising the possibility of gender bias in the responses.

The field survey respondents included a proportional sample of the Australian electoral roll and staff of a Queensland university. Respondents were initially asked to identify a product they had purchased entirely online within the past 12 months. Respondents were then asked to rate their agreement or disagreement in relation to the nominated purchase to 44 statements representing the six key dimensions identified in the literature. A modified five point Likert scale ranging from strongly disagree (1), through neutral (3) to strongly agree (5) including the option of “not-applicable” was used. The survey also collected demographic data. The 44 items and their origin within the literature are presented in appendix one.

Three rounds of pretesting were completed using 15 of the university staff members that participated in the focus groups to check the survey wording and layout. Initially 2000 surveys were mailed to a proportional random sample of the Australian voting population. One hundred and eight-eight mail surveys were returned. Sixty-nine were returned unopened, marked as “return to sender”. A further 31 were unusable since they were only partially completed or not completed at all. This reduced the possible sample to 1900 and represented a response rate of 4.6 percent. A follow up mail out survey was not possible since the mailing list purchased limited its use to one time only. Due to the low response rate a top up online survey of 412 university staff was conducted. This online version of the survey returned an additional 80 useable responses, giving a total of 146.

Qualitative results

The results of the depth interviews confirmed the six key dimensions identified in the literature. All depth interviewees thought that the main products consumers would purchase online would be digital or non-bulky and that digital products would dominate. The findings of the depth interviews also indicated that not all six dimensions identified in the literature are equally important, and not all dimensions are important at the same time.

The key dimension of differentiation was thought to be the weakest of the six dimensions, and tangibles the strongest. Additionally, respondents thought the key dimension of tangibles strongly influences the type of content and price information sought, which in turn were prerequisites for the formation of trust and shopping enjoyment. It was also noted that trust might also be a primary online shopping deterrent in instances where the consumer does not trust the medium. In general however, the depth interview results supported the product attribute stream of research in the literature.

The results of the focus groups suggest consumers will make a pure online purchase if they think it will be faster, easier and they will get a better price. Product type underpins this decision as does the perception that the consumer will obtain better information about the product on the Internet, will have more choice in terms of comparison shopping and outright purchase options as well as access to this information whenever they want it. They would also consider the Internet to make purchases for products that are not locally available.

The focus group discussions extended the findings of the depth interviews by identifying a pure online shopping scenario where the Internet retail channel is selected as a last resort in instances where a local shop has closed and the only way to purchase the product is online. Respondents in this cohort, expressed anxiety at having to purchase the product online, citing credit card fraud as the main reason.

Another extension identified as part of the focus group discussions is the idea that the Internet offers a “no-pressure” shopping environment. When probed, many of the respondents said one of the things they dislike about traditional shopping is “pushy” sales people. The Internet overcomes this problem in that it allows consumers to shop at-theirown-pace and make their purchase when they are ready. The consensus was that “pushy” sales people are more interested in the sale than serving the customer’s interests. This causes uncertainty in relation to the product they are buying and the vendor selling the product, and introduces an element of distrust, which is a disincentive to shop.

Thus, the focus group results provided further support for the product attributes model with two improvements, a link from differentiation to tangibles to cater for remote or time poor consumers, and a link from content to enjoyment in recognition of a shopping experience where trust does not or is only poorly developed.

Figure 3: Conceptual model of consumer value

Descriptive Statistics

The demographics and the responses to each of the two field surveys were analysed for differences with 95 percent confidence. Some potentially significant differences existed for some of the demographics and five of the 44 item statements. Potential differences in the two demographics were expected since the university sample was unlikely to be representative of the Australian population particularly in terms of their level of education, income and age. These differences should not affect respondents shopping motivations and owing to the small individual sample sizes of the two surveys, the five items with potentially significant differences were taken to reflect the variation possible in the population and the two datasets were merged. The means and standard deviations for each of the 44 items for the combined surveys are reported in appendix two.

For the combined surveys 70 percent were female, significantly higher than the Australian population average of 50.4 percent (ABS 1996). The average number of hours per week respondents usually used the Internet to find information about goods and services they would like to buy was 1.35 with an average of 0.7 purchases a month. The products respondents reported buying is presented in Table 1.

Table 1: Types and counts of products survey respondents reported having purchased in the past 12 months

Products purchased Combined surveys
Tickets
Books
Travel & hotels
Music
Clothes
Computer hardware
Computer software
DVD
Household goods
Rental car
Mobile phone
Perfume
Flowers
Camera
Cosmetics
Jewellery
Wine
Motorbike
Souvenirs
Suitcase
Collectibles
Astrology report
Bicycle
Heating pad
Memberships
Organic bed sheets
Pharmaceuticals
Registrations
Soap manufacturing supplies
Sunglasses
Teaching supplies
Vehicle
Video Camera battery
Yoga mat
GPS
52
33
28
21
17
12
10
8
5
5
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Total number of products reported purchased
Total number of products either digital or high information
Proportion of items either digital or high information
233
158
.68

Note: The question asked respondents to think of one Internet purchase they had made within the past 12 months where they had searched, evaluated and bought the good or service online and write that purchase in the space provided. A number of respondents from the university survey listed multiple products. These multiple product listings are included in the table. Digital or high information products are bolded.

In Table 1, the most popular purchases were tickets, books, travel & hotels and music, all of which can be considered digital or high information purchases. The most popular analogue products were clothes, computer hardware, household goods and mobile phones. The computer hardware category consisted of notebooks, laptops, pocket PC’s, graphics cards, printer cartridges and other non specified “computer parts” and “small computer parts”. The household goods category included a frypan, cutlery and other non-specified “household goods”. Thus, all of these products can be considered non-bulky except for two motorbikes, two suitcases, two instances of wine purchases one vehicle and one bicycle. For the combined surveys, the proportion of digital and high information products purchased is 68 percent. This proportion is significantly different at p< 0.001 (z= 9.31) when compared to the proportion of analogue / low information products reported purchased.

The combined sum of the four most popular digital / high information products (134) and the four most popular analogue / low information products (38), which are non-bulky products, for the combined surveys, is 172. This proportion is 74% of all the products purchased. These results suggest that consumers principally search, evaluate and buy digital and high information products online and will also buy non-bulky, analogue products, however the proportion of analogue / low information purchases is much smaller. These results support the findings of Zeng and Reinartz (2003), Vijayasarathy (2002), Phau and Poon (2000), Peterson et al. (1997) and Stern (1995).

Data Analysis

AMOS was used for data analysis. The advantage of structural equation modelling over traditional parametric analysis is that hypothesised behaviour can be modelled with non-experimental data collected from a survey (Maruyama 1998). Additionally, structural equation modelling overcomes the limitations of traditional statistical analysis techniques where the components contributing to an independent variable are summed, and it is assumed each indicator is measured with equal error and that each indicator contributes equally (Anderson & Gerbing 1998). The review of the literature and the qualitative results suggests that this is not the case and that several of the key dimensions identified may be correlated. Given this, the most appropriate analysis technique is to use exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis (Holmes-Smith et al. 2005).

Analysis was conducted using a two-step approach. Firstly the measurement models were tested for each of the one-factor congeneric models to simplify analysis of the three competing models (Anderson & Gerbing 1998). Measurement testing was used to establish the reliability of the constructs and their appropriateness for inclusion in a structural model.

The first step in the data analysis was to establish the convergent and discriminant validity of the six key dimensions. Convergent validity was verified with a principal components factor analysis, by running a separate analysis for each construct to establish a single eigen value above one. For the dimensions of content, trust and enjoyment convergent validity was verified when all items were included. For the dimensions of price, tangibles, and differentiation, which consisted of the sub dimensions, absolute and competitive & transparent pricing, differentiated and undifferentiated product attributes, and digital versus analogue items, convergent reliability was established for all of the sub constructs with the competitive & transparent pricing, undifferentiated and digital sub constructs loading on the first factor of each analysis respectively.

Further exploratory factor analysis was run in AMOS. The measurement models for each of the six key dimensions were initially tested with only enjoyment meeting acceptable levels as hypothesised. The measurement models for each of the remaining five dimensions were revised. Using an iterative process of reviewing the t-test scores, multiple correlation scores, standardised residuals and the modification indices, items were dropped that made sense from a theoretical perspective. The resultant six acceptable measurement models are presented in appendix three. Several of the congeneric models exhibit weaknesses in the measurement indices (appendix 3) including Tables A3.3 and A3.5, and several models are over fitted (Tables A3.4, A3.6, A3.8 & A3.12), however in all cases where this occurs, the models are theoretically based with good validity probabilities, and were therefore accepted.

The next step in the analysis was to let the six acceptable congeneric models co-vary to determine inter scale reliability, and potential structural coherence. The standardised loadings and the latent factor correlations for each of the six dimensions are presented diagrammatically in appendix four. Discriminant validity analysis indicates several of the dimensions are not entirely distinguishable empirically. The dimension content has several cross loadings with tangibles, differentiation, price and trust. Tangibles and differentiation also exhibit cross loadings as does differentiation and trust.

The Cronbach inter scale reliability of the post-hoc congeneric models (appendix 2) was .748 for content (Table A3.1), .498 for tangibles (Table A3.3), .591 for differentiation (Table A3.5), .727 for price (Table A3.7), .765 for trust (Table A3.9) and .915 for enjoyment (Table A3.11). The inter scale reliabilities for tangibles and differentiation are low. This explains the lack of discriminant validity when combined with the high factor correlations of -.81 between differentiation and trust, .77 between differentiation and content and .77 between tangibles and content. The lack of discriminant validity between content and price (.82) and content and trust (.87) appears to be due to the high inter dimensional correlations, as is the correlation between trust and price (.72). The key dimension of enjoyment is the only dimension exhibiting discriminant validity.

There is no theoretical evidence to suggest that the dimension content is measuring similar underlying aspects of the dimension trust or visa versa. To confirm this, further exploratory factor analysis was undertaken constrained to the items representing only these two theoretical dimensions. The results of this analysis identified the two pure factors as theorised. This analysis was repeated for each of the theoretical dimensions where discriminant validity was an issue, yielding the same results for each. This suggests each of the theorised dimensions is unique, albeit highly correlated.

Confirmatory factor analysis was conducted to test the two theoretical models and the conceptual model developed during this research. Factor score regressions for each of the six key dimensions were used to compute a composite score for the latent variables under consideration (Holmes-Smith et al, 2005; Joreskog & Sorbom 1989). These composite factors were then used for testing the three models in AMOS. The findings indicate that there is no support for either the product attributes or the situationalists’ models, and some support for the conceptual model. Post-hoc testing of the conceptual model was required to achieve a statistically valid result.

For the product attributes model, all of the structural pathways are significant as indicated by the critical ratios (Table 2) however only two of the paths contribute moderately to the model. This is evidenced by betas of .395 (price to content), and .395 (price to trust). None of the other structural links contribute significantly and dimensional reliability is generally poor, indicating a poor fit. The goodness of fit indices presented in Table 3, confirm this with only the GFI having an acceptable fit (.941). Therefore the product attributes model is not supported.

Table 2: Standardised estimates for the product attributes model

Dimension Dimension β (cr) Dimension reliability
Price <-- Differentiation -.282 -3.486 Content .378
Price <-- Tangibles .223 2.750 Price .129
Content <-- Differentiation -.299 -4.195 Trust .293
Content <-- Price .366 5.210 Enjoyment .045
Content <-- Tangibles .235 3.343
Trust <-- Price .395 4.904
Trust <-- Content .221 2.785
Enjoyment <-- Trust .212 2.636
Mardias coefficient = 6.422

Table 3: Goodness of fit estimates for the product attributes model

Model χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Product attributes 27.80 7 .000 3.973 .054 .941 .822 .143 .748 .882

The results for the situationalists’ model are presented in Tables 4 and 5. Only the path between price and content contributes moderately to the model as indicated by a beta of .418. The path between enjoyment and content has a non-significant critical ratio and the other two paths, whilst having acceptable critical ratios, do not contribute significantly to the model and none of the goodness of fit indices are acceptable. The situationalists’ model is therefore also not supported.

Table 4: Standardised estimates for the situationalists model

Dimension Dimension β (cr) Dimension reliability
Enjoyment <-- Trust .214 2.636 Content .241
Content <-- Price .418 4.878 Enjoyment .046
Content <-- Enjoyment .083 1.114
Content <-- Trust .226 2.659
Mardias coefficient = 2.381

Table 5: Goodness of fit estimates for the situationalists’ model

Model χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Situationalists 48.73 2 .000 24.36 .112 .875 .376 .401 -.33 .556

The results for the conceptual model are presented in Tables 6 and 7. Two paths, price to content (.359) and price to trust contribute moderately to the model as indicated by betas above 0.3. The paths between trust and enjoyment and content to enjoyment have nonsignificant critical ratios. All of the goodness of fit indices for the conceptual model except the TLI (.882) and the probability score (.035) are however within the acceptable range. Despite some of the goodness of fit indices meeting the criteria, the conceptual model is not supported. Of the three models tested however, it is the one that is closest to an acceptable fit.

Table 6: Standardised estimates for the conceptual model Table 7 Goodness of fit estimates for the conceptual model

Dimension Dimension β (cr) Dimension reliability
Tangibles <-- Differentiation -.291 -3.665 Content .421
Price <-- Differentiation -.277 -3.486 Tangibles .085
Price <-- Tangibles .219 2.750 Price .160
Content <-- Differentiation -.288 -4.195 Trust .305
Content <-- Price .359 5.210 Enjoyment .065
Content <-- Tangibles .226 3.343
Trust <-- Price .399 4.904
Trust <-- Content .227 2.785
Enjoyment <-- Trust .146 1.636
Enjoyment <-- Content .156 1.744
Mardias coefficient = 6.422

Model χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Conceptual 11.93 5 .035 2.39 .022 .974 .889 .098 .882 .961

The results of the conceptual model suggest the dimension of enjoyment should be removed due to its non-significant contribution to the model. Further support for the removal of this dimension is provided in the results for the situationalists’ model where the path between enjoyment and content is also non-significant. The AMOS modification indices however suggested the addition of a structural path between differentiation and trust, which is plausible. Adding this path improves the model, however the path from content to enjoyment remains unchanged and non-significant. Removal of this path significantly improves the goodness of fit indices and standardised estimates.

The results for the post-hoc conceptual model are presented in Table 8 and Figure 4. All of the goodness of fit indices are acceptable, with a moderate probability (.340) that the model is valid. The goodness of fit indices mask some weak measurement scores for the model (appendix 3), however the post-hoc results are a close approximation of the conceptual model and should be accepted recognising that the dimension of enjoyment is a weak contributor and requires the indirect influence of tangibles and differentiation via trust, for the path between trust and enjoyment to be significant.

Table 8: Goodness of fit estimates for the post-hoc conceptual model Figure 4 Standardised estimates of the post-hoc conceptual model

Model χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Conceptual -post-hoc 5.665 5 .340 1.133 .025 .987 .947 .030 .989 .996

Discussion

The most frequently reported purchases for the pure online shopping scenario were tickets, books, travel & hotels and music, and overall 68 percent of purchases were either digital products, in that they could be purchased immediately online with no need for delivery, or high information products such as books, which whilst needing to be delivered, were non-bulky items. This provides a strong indication that consumers have a preference for purchasing digital or non-bulky goods online. This finding lends support to the product attributes stream of online consumer behaviour research.

The findings of this research support and extend the previous findings of Vijayasarathy (2002) and Phau and Poon (2000), in that there is a strong preference for actually purchasing digital products online, rather than just a strong intention to purchase these types of products. The results also cast doubt on whether highly differentiated products will sell well online as hypothesised by Peterson et al, (1997), since none of the products reported purchased by respondents were unique or unusual. With respect to cost, the reported purchases also show no indication of a preference for low, moderate or high cost items as hypothesised by Peterson et al, (1997) and Stern (1995).

The results indicate that the dimension of enjoyment may be a component of the pure online shopping experience, however the path in the structural model is weak. The path is also not necessary to achieve a statistically valid result. Thus, whilst there is some support for the findings of Koufaris (2002) who developed the item scale used, the empirical evidence in this research, suggests that shopping for pleasure online, if it is an important shopping driver, was not adequately captured.

The testing of the three models developed during this research suggests that the dimensions relating to product attributes (tangibles and differentiation) directly or indirectly influence the key dimensions of content, price and trust. This suggests that the refined product attributes model, successful as the post-hoc conceptual model, is a better approximation of reality than the situationalists model since the path between trust and enjoyment is non-significant without the indirect effects of tangibles, differentiation, price and content. Additionally, whilst the path between trust and content is significant, although somewhat weak in the situationalists’ model (cr = 2.659, β .226), and in the post-hoc conceptual model (content – trust cr = 2.785, β .227), a statistically acceptable outcome is only achievable when the path originates from content.

The research thus facilitates the development of a model of online consumer value as it relates to the buying decision process that incorporates the initial online shopping channel drivers and the key online buying decision drivers (Figure 9).

Figure 9: Model of the online buying decision process

Theoretically, the identification of the initial shopping drivers clarifies where each of the product attributes and the situation research streams can potentially contribute to the understanding of the online consumer value creation process. Knowing how consumers use the online retail channel is fundamental to understanding the initial step in the consumer value creation process. The results from this research suggest that the nature of the product, expressed in terms of tangibles and differentiation determine initial shopping channel selection. This points to the consumer evaluating the basic condition of the Internet to arrive at their first decision within the online buying decision process. This knowledge contributes to a better understanding of the potential impact of a discontinuous innovation in retail and can contribute to understanding the process of retail change.

The identification of the key decision drivers once the Internet channel is selected identifies the potential vendor and channel-switching drivers. The results from this research suggest that once the Internet has been selected, consumers seek out product and pricing information before arriving at the purchase decision. This finding highlights the significance of content and price as a component of the online consumer value creation process, and importantly identifies when these two dimensions are important within the buying decision process. This knowledge contributes to modelling consumer value and establishing the structural path from product attributes to product information in Figure 9.

The finding that the dimension of trust (and possibly enjoyment) is the key purchase decision driver completes the process of online consumer value creation and establishes where the situationalist literature can make its biggest contribution. The findings indicate that the development of trust in the online context is reliant upon the consumer’s expectations in relation to content and price being met and that the product information sought is a function of the nature of the product under consideration. This finding suggests that research in the area of online consumer trust can be significantly advanced if viewed as a function of the nature of the product under consideration.

In addition to the implications for theory addressed above, this research has implications for practitioners in the retail industry. With respect to incumbent retailers, the results suggest that those currently operating bookstores, music stores, travel agencies and general ticket offices offline face a bleak future and should consider migrating their business online as a matter of urgency. Retailers of other product types that are, or can be, easily digitised, such as electronic games, movies, radio broadcasting, magazine and newspaper publishers, television licence holders and telecommunication companies should include the Internet as part of their distribution strategy or risk losing market share in the near future.

Offline retailers of non-bulky consumer durables should also consider the same, particularly where miniaturisation in the industry is occurring, such as in the area of consumer electronics. Manufacturers of these non-bulky products should also consider the strategic impact of pursuing the traditionally popular policy of imposing geographic selling restrictions and / or exclusive distribution rights over a geographic area since artificial trading barriers will encourage new entrants, particularly from technologically emerging nations such as China.

Retailers of tangible bulky products not suited to shipping either because of cost or potential breakages are unlikely to be seriously impacted by the Internet. Retailers of such products however, can take advantage of the informational potential of the Internet to disseminate product and company information.

For aspiring entrepreneurs who wish to contribute to the success of the Internet as a retail channel the possibilities are many. Entrepreneurs can assist in the adaptation of existing products suitable to digitisation using current technology. Where necessary they can develop hardware and software to adapt existing products not yet suited to the channel or they can develop entirely new products. Digital books, magazines and newspapers are examples of potential adaptations using current technology. Television and telecommunications are examples of hardware and software development requirements, and new product development possibilities seem bounded only be the requirement that they be digital or readily digitised.

Despite attempts to ensure that the findings of this research are both reliable and valid, a number of limitations exist. Firstly, the original mail out survey had a low response rate and a subsequent top up survey was required. However, the initial mail out sample was probability based and appears representative of the population and variation between the two field samples is generally within acceptable limits.

Secondly, this research addresses theoretical gaps in the online consumer behaviour and retail change literature for which limited precedent has been set in terms of combining the six key dimensions within a single study. The scales used were largely adapted from the online consumer behaviour literature. The ability of these six scales to reflect the complexities and dynamics of the entire online purchasing influences has not been sufficiently explored.

Next, it is recognised that the survey instrument measured perceptions at one point in time. It is a risk to suggest that this model of online consumer value will stand the test of time. There is a further possibility of respondent bias of the results, as it is possible that respondents with computer and Internet experience may be more likely to respond to the survey than respondents with little or no exposure to computers or the Internet. Additionally, the majority of respondents to both field surveys were female, and thus the results may not reflect the true perceptions of males.

Finally, in any modelling, favourable results are relative and not absolute. Good model fit does not imply that the chosen model represents a valid reflection of reality. All that can be expected from good model fit is that the model indicates a good representation of relationships between factors. The real possibility of specification error, that is, not specifying an important construct or not specifying enough measurements exists (Baggozzi & Baumgartner 1994). For this research the standardised measurement estimates for the dimensions of tangibles and differentiation are examples of this.

These limitations do not necessarily undermine the findings of this research. They are outlined to acknowledge their existence and stress the need for further research. The results provide opportunities for further research with respect to the delimitations of scope, the further testing and validation of the scales and models developed, the extension of the models to the incorporation of demographic variables, and / or segmenting the population on the basis of age, culture, income, education, gender and computer and Internet usage. The research could also be extended to an examination of the pure offline buying decision process and shopping scenarios where consumers switch channels during the buying decision process, and finally, the methodology used.

In summary, this theory building research has synthesised existing research and theories, combined the information gathered with the results of exploratory research and confirmatory factor analysis to contribute to existing knowledge in the prediction of online consumer behaviour. This research has also contributed to the field of retail change and has set a foundation for further research about how and why consumers make shopping decisions and the likely impact of continuous and discontinuous innovations in retail such as the Internet.

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Appendix 1: List of questions included in the survey

Question Source
Content
I knew I could obtain only the information I required online Adapted from Devaraj et al. (2002)
I knew the information would be current and timely online Adapted from Souitaris and Cohen (2003)
I knew I could get the information in a clear and concise way Adapted from Montoya-Weiss et al. (2003)
I knew the information online would be relevant and accurate Argawal and Ventakesh (2002)
I knew the extent of the information would be high Adapted from Souitaris and Cohen (2003)
I knew it would be easy to compare products online Adapted from Montoya-Weiss et al. (2003)
I knew I could get the information I wanted quickly Adapted from Vijayasarathy (2002)
Tangibles
I knew I could try it before I bought it Adapted from Vijayasarathy (2002)
I knew arranging delivery to my home would be easy Adapted from Wang and Tang (2003)
I had to have it immediately Adapted from Phau and Poon (2000)
Arranging delivery to my home when I was home would be easy Adapted from Wang and Tang (2003)
The product could be downloaded immediately Adapted from Vijayasarathy (2002)
I did not need to physically inspect the product Adapted from Vijayasarathy (2002)
The good or service did not need to be delivered to me Adapted from Wang and Tang (2003)
Differentiation
It was a simple purchase New. Developed from the focus groups
I did not think the good or service was available locally Adapted from Vijayasarathy (2002)
It was an unusual good or service Adapted from Peterson et al. (1997) and Stern (1995)
It was a unique good or service Adapted from Peterson et al. (1997) and Stern (1995)
It was a standard good or service Adapted from Peterson et al. (1997) and Stern (1995)
The good or service was readily available online Adapted from Vijayasarathy (2002)
Price
The good or service was of moderate cost Adapted from Peterson et al. (1997) and Stern (1995)
The good or service did not cost much Adapted from Peterson et al. (1997) and Stern (1995)
I knew I would get a bigger discount online From Youthayotin (2004)
I knew I would get the breakdown of all the associated costs Adapted from Peterson et al. (1997) and Stern (1995)
The good or service was expensive Adapted from Peterson et al. (1997) and Stern (1995)
I knew there would be no hidden costs online New. Developed from the focus groups
I knew I would get the best price Adapted from Souitaris and Cohen (2003)
Trust
I knew I could shop at my own pace New. Developed from the focus groups
I knew I would not be pressured into the sale New. Developed from the focus groups
I trusted the brand I was shopping for Adapted from Gefen et al. (2003)
It was easier to shop for it online Adapted from Devaraj et al. (2003)
I knew shopping on the Internet was safe Adapted from Tan et al. (2003)
It was a pleasing environment Adapted from Lui and Arnett (2000)
I knew the online vendor would act in my best interests Adapted from Olivier et al. (2001)
I knew my privacy would be respected online Adapted from Torkzadeh (2002)
It was the most useful means by which to make the purchase Adapted from Tan et al. (2003)
I trusted the online vendor Adapted from Gefen et al. (2003)
The online vendor had nothing to gain by being dishonest Adapted from Gefen et al. (2003)
I felt in control shopping on the Internet Adapted from Devaraj et al. (2002)
I knew I could return the product if it was defective Adapted from Torkzadeh (2002)
Shopping enjoyment
I knew it would be exciting shopping on the Internet Adapted from Koufaris (2002)
I knew it would be enjoyable shopping online Adapted from Koufaris (2002)
I knew it would be interesting shopping online Adapted from Koufaris (2002)
I knew it would be fun Adapted from Koufaris (2002)

Appendix 2: Means and standard deviations for the forty-four questions for the combined field samples

Question Combined surveys mean Combined surveys SD
I knew I could get the information I wanted quickly 4.17 0.82
I knew the information would be current and timely online 4.04 0.80
I knew I could get the information in a clear and concise way 4.01 0.81
I knew it would be easy to compare products online 4.05 0.88
I knew the information online would be relevant and accurate 3.91 0.85
I knew the extent of the information would be high 3.84 0.88
I knew I could obtain only the information I required online 3.22 1.46
I did not need to physically inspect the product 4.18 0.88
I knew arranging delivery to my home would be easy 3.71 0.99
Arranging delivery to my home when I was home would be easy 3.33 1.15
The product could be downloaded immediately 3.33 1.38
I had to have it immediately 2.88 1.35
The good or service did not need to be delivered to me 2.66 1.49
I knew I could try it before I bought it 2.03 1.05
The good or service was readily available online 4.25 0.69
It was a simple purchase 4.15 0.81
It was a standard good or service 3.59 1.02
I did not think the good or service was available locally 3.23 1.53
It was an unusual good or service 2.80 1.29
It was a unique good or service 2.78 1.29
The good or service was of moderate cost 3.87 0.89
I knew I would get the breakdown of all the associated costs 3.64 1.01
I knew I would get the best price 3.58 0.97
The good or service did not cost much 3.14 1.15
I knew there would be no hidden costs online 3.23 1.07
I knew I would get a bigger discount online 3.38 1.17
The good or service was expensive 2.62 1.04
I knew I would not be pressured into the sale 4.24 0.82
I knew I could shop at my own pace 4.18 0.79
It was easier to shop for it online 4.31 0.92
I trusted the brand I was shopping for 4.22 0.80
It was the most useful means by which to make the purchase 4.26 0.80
I felt in control shopping on the Internet 3.89 0.95
It was a pleasing environment 3.54 0.97
I trusted the online vendor 3.70 0.91
The online vendor had nothing to gain by being dishonest 3.48 1.04
I knew the online vendor would act in my best interests 3.27 0.87
I knew I could return the product if it was defective 3.20 1.13
I knew my privacy would be respected online 3.12 0.98
I knew shopping on the Internet was safe 3.13 1.07
I knew it would be interesting shopping online 2.90 1.03
I knew it would be enjoyable shopping online 2.82 1.05
I knew it would be fun 2.74 1.02
I knew it would be exciting shopping on the Internet 2.49 1.10

Appendix 3: Measurement model statistics for enjoyment and the five post-hoc one factor congeneric dimensions.

Table A3.1 Standardised estimates of the post-hoc dimension content one factor congeneric construct

Variable β (cr) Variable reliability Factor score regressions
I knew the information would be current and timely online .583 6.744 .340 .229
I knew I could get the information in a clear and concise way .820 10.030 .672 .630
I knew I could get the information I wanted quickly .652 7.860 .425 .286
I knew the information online would be relevant and accurate .526 6.053 .276 .175
I knew it would be easy to compare products online .475 5.291 .226 .145
Cronbach’s alpha = .748 Mardia’s coefficient = 13.936
Variance extracted =.50

Table A3.2 Goodness of fit estimates for the post-hoc dimension content one factor congeneric model

Factor χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Content 7.774 5 .169 1.55 .027 .979 .936 .062 .963 .982

Table A3.3 Standardised estimates of the post-hoc dimension tangibles one factor congeneric construct of the theoretical model

Variable β (cr) Variable reliability Factor score regressions
I had to have it immediately .355 3.312 .126 .116
The product could be downloaded immediately .728 4.681 .530 .498
I did not need to physically inspect the product .295 2.530 .087 .144
The good or service did not need to be delivered to me .457 3.883 .209 .151
Cronbach’s alpha = 0.498 Mardia’s coefficient = 0.885
Variance extracted = .305

Table A3.4 Goodness of fit estimates for the post-hoc dimension tangibles one factor congeneric model

Factor χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Tangibles 1.704 2 .427 .852 0.042 .994 .972 .046 1.03 1.0

Table A3.5 Standardised estimates of the post-hoc dimension differentiation one factor congeneric construct of the theoretical model

Variable β (cr) Variable reliability Factor score regressions
The good or service was readily available online .706 N/A .498 .720
It was a simple purchase .597 N/A .357 .403
It was a standard good or service .476 N/A .227 .213
Cronbach’s alpha = .591 Mardia’s coefficient = 5.15
Variance extracted = .47

Source: developed from this research

Table A3.6 Goodness of fit estimates for the post-hoc dimension differentiation one factor congeneric model

Factor χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Differentiation .525 3 .913 .175 .017 .998 .995 .000 1.05 1.00

Table A3.7 Standardised estimates of the post-hoc dimension price one factor congeneric construct of the theoretical model

Variable β (cr) Variable reliability Factor score regressions
I knew I would get the breakdown of all the associated costs .682 N/A .465 .351
I knew I would get the best price .674 N/A .454 .420
I knew there would be no hidden costs online .623 N/A .388 .218
Covariances
Variables β (cr) (cr)

 

Variable β (cr) Variable reliability Factor score regressions
I knew I would get the breakdown of all the associated costs<> I knew there would be no hidden costs online .338 2.467
Cronbach’s alpha = .727 Mardia’s coefficient = 2.601
Variance extracted = .561

Table A3.8 Goodness of fit estimates for the post-hoc dimension price one factor congeneric model

Factor χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Price .441 2 .802 .221 .046 .998 .994 .000 1.02 1.00

Table A3.9 Standardised estimates of the post-hoc dimension trust one factor congeneric construct of the theoretical model

Variable β (cr) Variable reliability Factor score regressions
I trusted the online vendor .663 7.768 .439 .294
The online vendor had nothing to gain by being dishonest .539 6.140 .291 .165
I knew shopping on the Internet was safe .629 7.286 .396 .221
I knew the online vendor would act in my best interests .678 8.047 .460 .329
I knew my privacy would be respected online .655 7.655 .429 .268
Cronbach’s alpha = .765 Mardia’s coefficient = 5.741
Variance extracted =.522

Table A3.10 Goodness of fit estimates for the post-hoc dimension trust one factor congeneric model

Factor χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Trust (6 items) 7.152 5 .210 1.43 .034 .98 .940 .054 .972 .986

Table A3.11 Standardised estimates of the dimension enjoyment one factor congeneric model

Variable β (cr) Variable reliability Factor score regressions
I knew it would be exciting on the Internet .866 12.79 .751 .274
I Knew it would be enjoyable shopping online .834 12.06 .696 .226
I knew it would be interesting shopping online .832 12.00 .692 .226
I knew it would be fun .883 13.19 .780 .339
Cronbach’s alpha = .915 Mardia’s coefficient = 5.4
Variance explained = .832

Table A3.12 Goodness of fit estimates for the dimension enjoyment one factor congeneric model

Factor χ² Df p χ²/df RMR GFI AGFI RMSEA TLI CFI
Shopping enjoyment .279 2 .870 .139 .004 .999 .995 .000 1.01 1.0

Appendix 4 – Structural coefficients and latent factor correlations for the six post-hoc congeneric models

The missing correlation between content and enjoyment is 0.26.